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The Steven Dux Blueprint

The Steven Dux Blueprint – How Data, Discipline, and Psychology Built a $50 Million Trading Fortune https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PS76GPJAKq0&t=233s Long-Term Persistence and Risk Management “First of all is the persistency and make sure that you’re in the game for the long run, not seeing the instant gratifications for how much money you are making one day… I see a lot of traders that posting that they made 60%, 90% even one day of their accounts, but within three months, they give it all back and potentially blow up their accounts. So, first of all, make sure that you have a risk system that provides you enough cushion for you to survive in the long run, years to come.” — Steven Dux Steven Dux’s story is the stuff of legend. Starting with just $27,000, he turned that modest sum into over $50 million trading stocks. He did it in a way that almost anyone can understand: by studying human behavior, using statistics, and sticking to strict rules. This chapter breaks down his approa...
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Jensen Huang on AI Factories, Physical AI, and the Future of Work

Complete Script: Jensen Huang on AI Factories, Physical AI, and the Future of Work NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang | Rebuilding Industrial Power: AI Factories & the Return of US Manufacturing Moderator: Welcome to the Hillen Valley Forum. It's great to have you, Jensen. Jensen Huang: Thank you very much. It's very nice to be here. Moderator: You've positioned AI as a new industrial revolution with AI factories at the center of it. Can you explain to us what is an AI factory and why is it important to understand in the 21st-century economy? Jensen Huang: AI is a new technology-built differently than software of the past. This new software can do things that software in the past could not do. So, it's incredible technology: all the things it can do, all the things we have to do to keep it safe, all the amazing things it's going to enable-fantastic. So, there's the technology layer. The second layer, which is rather new, is the industry of software production. In the l...
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Arista Networks Inc a good buy at $64.37?

 Its stock recently peaked at $133.57 in January. From there it has retraced to ~$64/share. The question is, does it has room to go lower? The stock has been on a bull run since July 2022 at $23/share, which serves at the support level. The market is in panic, and the stock has sold off 50% over the last month. It is a good company, but if the market sense great sense of uncertainty and no stability in sight, it could continue to sell off until it retraces to $20s. The market can stay irrational longer than we can, therefore it is reasonable to believe that it could reach $10s.
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Stanley Druckenmiller's advice on housing and trucking leading indicators

Legendary Investor Stanley Druckenmiller advises that every investor should closely study the housing and trucking leadings indicators. If these leading indicators are weakening. The economy is more likely in trouble: Let's break down the key data points and their meanings from each of these sources: Housing: National Association of Realtors (NAR): Existing-Home Sales: Indicates the number of previously owned homes sold in a given period. A decline may suggest softening demand or affordability challenges. Median Existing-Home Price: The midpoint of all sales prices. Rising prices could signal a competitive market, while falling prices may indicate a cooling market. Pending Home Sales Index: A forward-looking indicator based on signed contracts to purchase existing homes. It provides insights into future sales activity. U.S. Census Bureau: Housing Starts: The number of new residential construction projects initiated. A decrease might suggest builders are less confident in t...
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FOMC Week: Data-Driven Decisions and Market Volatility Expected

Powell's focus on data-dependency will likely dominate this FOMC week. With a resilient economy and low unemployment, 2-3 rate cuts seem feasible. However, the market is anticipating 4-6 cuts, which could lead to near-term volatility for being overly optimistic.  Stay informed, analyze incoming data, and be prepared for potential market swings.
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Daily Market Update 1/23/24 - The Return of Animal Spirits

Netflix's earnings helped bolster market optimism after the closing bell on January 23rd. I particularly like this movement because it will likely draw in FOMO (fear of missing out), which could fuel a larger market downturn in the near future.  Of course, I could be wrong, but here's how I think it might play out: The Federal Reserve (Fed) will likely take a more hawkish stance at the next two Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This could trigger market fears and uncertainty, leading to a sell-off and a flight to safe havens. Large-cap stocks could continue to be a safe haven for investors and ETF institutions during this period. The main reason the Fed is unlikely to cut rates quickly is due to several key economic indicators: The unemployment rate and jobless claims remain low, inflation showed potential for an uptick after the CPI data of 3.4%, and consumer spending continues to be strong. These factors give the Fed the comfort to keep rates steady for a while l...
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Daily Market Update 1/22/24

Major US indices continued their climb on a wave of market optimism, though the pace slowed slightly. The S&P 500 edged up 0.2%, setting a new record high after last week's breakout achievement. Both the Nasdaq and Dow Jones saw modest gains, with Dow Jones surpassing 38,000 for the first time ever. However, the muted movements across all three indices hinted at a cooling in overall optimism, with investors adopting a more cautious stance . Key observations: Tech and consumer discretionary sectors led early gains. Bonds became more appealing with falling US Treasury yields. Low volatility reflected a stable market environment. Declining Treasury yields boosted bond attractiveness but sparked potential concerns about future inflation. More advancing than declining stocks across all three indices indicated a broad market advance. Moderate trading volume suggested a healthy level of participation and a balanced mix of pessimism and optimism. Investor sentiment remained bullish, an...
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